Florida Real Estate

Owning Real Estate in Florida is not a bad idea as long as you know where the market is (in relationship to ‘Fair Value’) and you sell before the oceans rise.

As of Spring of 2019 I believe that we are ~20% over ‘Fair Value’ right now. My belief is based on inflation and population extrapolations. Population growth between 2000-2019 was ~23% and inflation of about ~49%. If you don’t believe that the dollar has lost almost half it’s buying power in the past 20 years, see for yourself https://smartasset.com/investing/inflation-calculator#LFWyzg1QVC

again make sure to sell before you’re (literally) under water…

Why (right now) Silver is a better investment than Stocks & Bonds

STOCKS ARE OVER VALUED

  • As of this writing (March 2019) stocks are beginning to come off their historic all time highs, could they recover and go higher? Yes, but is that a risk worth taking, I don’t think so.
  • The key to investing (in anything) is ‘Buy Low’ and ‘Sell High’, yes, it’s that simple. The only question is, what is ‘Low’ and what is ‘High’? Unfortunately there is no simple (or single) answer to this question, it’s all in who you ask. 
  • One person to ask might be Warren Buffet, fortunately he has already told us. If you take the total value of all issued stock in a country and divide it by the countries total annual production get an indicator called, Market Cap /GDP. Which Buffet stated “is probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment.” This is similar to a PE (Price to Earnings) ratio for a company, but you are looking at the countries economy as a whole.
  • The indicator below is typically used to shows how ‘inline’ stock prices are compared to the overall US economic output. As you can see we are currently above the levels we were, right before the dot com bubble bust in early 2000, a time when companies who had a domain name were worth millions, until they weren’t.
  • If you want more  information on the ‘Buffet Indicator’, check out https://www.gurufocus.com/stock-market-valuations.php
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=qLC

THE ECONOMY IS NOT THAT GOOD

  • There are many people, primarily in the media, saying that the economy is great because employment in the US is doing great. The reason they say this is because the US “Unemployment Rate” is at all time lows, but I want to show you how the ‘Unemployment Rate’ and ‘Actual Employment’ are not as closely related, as you might think.
  • Below are a few charts I pulled from FRED, an economic data resource provided by the Federal Reserve. For starters only ~60% of the US population is actually working, well I guess there could be a bunch of children and retirees, who rightfully should not be in the workforce. 
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Why holding Silver is better than the USD (US Dollar) in the long term

So why should you invest in Silver when there are so many great options out there, Cash, Stocks, Bonds, Gold or Real Estate. Though all of these are great assets to buy and own at one point or another, I believe right now is the time to buy and hold Silver. I’ll break down my reasons for believing this in this three part series.

PART ONE: WHY THE DEATH OF THE DOLLAR IS INEVITABLE

– INFLATION

The title of the is chart is very misleading (source)

The US Federal Reserve  dollar denominated notes, more commonly known as USD have actually been losing buying power since they were created in 1913. As you can see from this chart of USD inflation , $1 in 1913, had $25 worth of buying power by today’s metrics. For example you could buy $25 Continue reading

How to Buy Physical Silver. The Pros & Cons of Each Option.

So now you’re probably wondering, how do I get my hands on some silver?

As with most purchased these days, you have two main options, online or in-person retail. The advantages of each are about the same as with choosing to buy a TV on Amazon or at Best Buy. Online is (almost) always cheaper and you will have a much bigger selection, but by buying something in person, you get the added benefit of taking your silver home with you that day and the comfort of knowing that if you have any questions (or issues) regarding your purchase you have someone to speak with (or confront).

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The Basics of Physical Silver Investments

If you want to invest in physical silver, In my opinion, you have three major categories of silver to choose from; Nationally Minted Silver (NMS), Privately MintedSilver (PMS) or Manufactured Silver Goods, such as jewelry and Silverware. In this post I’ll discuss what I see as the benefits and drawbacks of each one of these options, and which you should put your paper money in.

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A Lesson in Critical Thinking: The Russian Spy Poisoning Tale

 

This whole ‘Russian Spy Poising’ story when considered critically doesn’t make any sense, and borders on comedy due to the unrealistic claims and the unsubstantiated hysteria that it has caused . But unfortunately the potentially earth shattering nuclear consequences don’t make this a laughing matter.

The information below has me to believe that this event was a complete setup. I’m not going to guess at who’s actually responsible but I most certainly don’t think it was the Russian government. Though there are many reasons to question this story, here are a few of my main ones:

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